Trump impeachment may define the Republican Party
WASHINGTON — Republicans are stood at the verge of the monumental decision, Wednesday, for an impeachment vote, whether to prosecute or defend a president who has many say incited a fatal crowd to topple the US.
Capitol in an attempt to reverse the outcome of the elections.
The decision could characterize the party and form the democracy in America for future generations.
A few House Republicans backed the impeachment, particularly the third-ranking representative of Wyoming, Liz Cheney, who told President Donald Trump "lit the flame of this attack" and accused him of an unparalleled "betrayal" of his constitutional oath.
Rep. John Katko of New York, Adam Kinzinger of Illinois, Fred Upton of Michigan and Jaime Herrera Beutler of Washington have declared support for the charges on Tuesday.
The indictment would undoubtedly proceed through the Democratic House with or without the assistance of the Republicans.
After that, what happens is unknown.
The Senate takes a two thirds vote to sentence a president, meaning that after January 20 at least seventeen Republicans will need to join Democrats.
This is a high order.
History's decision emerges.
And for those people who wish to make a break from Trump and to find a new direction for the Republican Party, the time is limited.
"It sure seems like the last best chance to stand up to the guy while it still matters," said Liam Donovan, a lobbyist and former GOP campaign staffer.
"Republicans can speak up now or they can follow the path of least resistance, but at some point there will be a reckoning, and it will come at a political cost."
For GOP politicians, electoral calculus is difficult, since key voters in the party have settled and tended to support Trump's groundless allegations of widespread manipulation during the 2020 elections.
Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky, a Trump ally who broke with him on January 6 when he made an impassioned plea to assert Joe Biden's win.
But the motives of McConnell are not clear.
His office had no comment on the prosecution on Tuesday.
Others claim that his status could decide the result.
"I think if McConnell supports conviction in the Senate then the votes will be there to convict the president," said one senior Republican assistant who demanded anonymity to talk candidly.
A Quinnipiac poll taken after the unrest in Capitol showed that 71 percent of Republicans identify with the work of Trump and 73 percent feel that Trump is upholding democracy, not weakening it.
Among people, 60% disapprove of its success and 60% argue that it threatens democracy, not preserves it.
"The political calculus is impossible for members to ignore, but if ever there was a time, it's now," said Rory Cooper, strategist and former assistant to the House GOP leadership who criticizes Trump.
"The public's reaction to the Capitol attack is nearly universally negative according to polling done since, so attaching your condemnation to those events and those events only probably softens political blowback and gives members some shielding," he added.
"Elections aren't for two years and so the electoral risk is low today and grows exponentially."
Tuesday, the House voted to introduce a resolution calling for Vice President Mike Pence to push for the 25th amendment and the impeachment by declaring him incompetent to represent Trump and the rest of the cabinet.
It was a symbolic vote with little real consequence because Pence said he would not do so before Tuesday, and Congress had no power to push him on.
During the debate Tuesday night, several Republicans lined up for Trump's defense accused Democrats of being divisive.
"Why are the Democrats stoking the fire instead of dousing the flames?" asked Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Arizona, recently endorsing an attempt to undo the outcome by voting against Arizona and Pennsylvania's electoral ballot counting.
The 25th amendment proposal was only a prelude to the main event on Wednesday, when the Chamber was expected to vote on an article accusing the presidente to "Incitement of Insurrection."
If it opposes Trump, the Senate still has the right to prohibit him from taking office, a decision that could immediately alter the form of the key 2024 and make room for a different style of GOP king.
This may not be what Republican people want, but the politicians ask for it.
"I think there is a sizeable majority in both chambers that desires an outcome where Trump cannot run for public office again," said Cooper.